Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.051686 0.060685 0.070735 0.082786 0.096839 0.112706 0.131977
2025-08-10 0.038478 0.050376 0.065119 0.084702 0.110013 0.141607 0.184035
2025-08-17 0.029068 0.041387 0.057917 0.081665 0.114863 0.159581 0.224375
2025-08-24 0.023698 0.036157 0.054005 0.081349 0.122104 0.180519 0.270550
2025-08-31 0.019636 0.031817 0.050288 0.080209 0.127343 0.198612 0.314449
2025-09-07 0.017185 0.029377 0.048823 0.081917 0.136667 0.223452 0.371265
2025-09-14 0.014759 0.026505 0.046131 0.081082 0.141562 0.241656 0.419584
2025-09-21 0.012598 0.023690 0.043045 0.079002 0.143872 0.255614 0.462267
2025-09-28 0.010771 0.021154 0.040023 0.076498 0.144927 0.267296 0.502129
2025-10-05 0.009839 0.020117 0.039514 0.078410 0.154063 0.294099 0.572141
2025-10-12 0.008882 0.018872 0.038419 0.079014 0.160736 0.317055 0.637633
2025-10-19 0.008023 0.017689 0.037264 0.079303 0.166756 0.339348 0.704369
2025-10-26 0.007326 0.016755 0.036519 0.080399 0.174702 0.366666 0.785215
2025-11-02 0.006826 0.016177 0.036436 0.082881 0.185873 0.401857 0.886753
2025-11-09 0.005957 0.014628 0.034047 0.080018 0.185200 0.412420 0.937621
2025-11-16 0.005392 0.013696 0.032889 0.079728 0.190125 0.435404 1.018185
2025-11-23 0.004841 0.012710 0.031465 0.078614 0.192993 0.454151 1.091481
2025-11-30 0.004525 0.012258 0.031232 0.080289 0.202582 0.489086 1.206105
2025-12-07 0.004101 0.011462 0.030051 0.079471 0.206043 0.510226 1.290710
2025-12-14 0.003663 0.010558 0.028475 0.077432 0.206198 0.523509 1.357873
2025-12-21 0.003257 0.009675 0.026828 0.074976 0.204961 0.533228 1.417335
2025-12-28 0.003083 0.009421 0.026808 0.076851 0.215264 0.572866 1.557628
2026-01-04 0.002872 0.009024 0.026342 0.077443 0.222215 0.604761 1.681609